THE EVOLUTIONARY MANIFESTO
Our Role in the Future Evolution of Life
John Stewart Core Member of the Evolution, Complexity and Cognition Research Group, The Free University of Brussels
PART
2: ADVANCING EVOLUTION BY ORGANIZING A COOPERATIVE
GLOBAL SOCIETY
The trend to increasing
cooperation in past evolution
The trend towards increasing cooperation is well illustrated
by a short history of the evolution of life on Earth. For billions of years after the big bang, the
universe expanded rapidly in scale and diversified into a multitude of
galaxies, stars, planets and other forms of lifeless matter.
The first life that eventually arose on Earth was
infinitesimal—it comprised a few molecular processes that reproduced themselves. But life did not remain on this tiny scale
for long. In the first major
development, cooperative groups of molecular processes formed simple cells. Then, in a further significant advance,
communities of these simple cells formed more complex cells of much greater
scale.
The next major evolutionary transition unfolded only after
many more millions of years. Evolution
discovered how to organize cooperative groups of these complex cells into
multi-celled organisms such as insects, fish, and eventually mammals. Once again the scale of living processes had
increased enormously. This trend
continued with the emergence of cooperative societies of multi-celled
organisms, such as bee hives, wolf packs and baboon troops.
The pattern was repeated with humans – families joined up to
form bands, bands teamed up to form tribes, tribes coalesced to form
agricultural communities, and so on. The
largest-scale cooperative organizations of living processes on the planet are
now human societies.
Progressively as evolution has unfolded on Earth, an
increasing share of living processes has come to participate in cooperatives of
greater scale.
This unmistakable trend is the result of many repetitions of
a process in which living entities team up to form larger-scale
cooperatives. Strikingly, the
cooperative groups that arise at each step in this sequence become the entities
that then unite once again to form cooperative groups at the next step in the
sequence.
This long sequence of directional evolution has been driven
by the potential, at every level of organization, for cooperative teams united
by common goals to be more successful than isolated individuals. This potential will drive directional change no
matter what mechanism searches for evolutionary improvements (e.g. whether by
genetic trial and error, cultural processes, or conscious intent).
Furthermore, it will be the same wherever life arises in the
universe. The details will differ of
course, but the direction will be the same—towards unification and cooperation
over greater and greater scales.
The future evolution
of cooperation
Life on Earth is now at the threshold of the next step in
this trajectory—humanity has the potential to form a unified, inclusive and
highly evolvable global society. This
society will manage a larger symbiotic organization that comprises the matter,
energy and living processes of the planet, including machines, artificial
intelligence and other technologies.
When this global system emerges, the scale of cooperative organization
will have increased over a million, billion times since life began. And most life on Earth will participate in a
cooperative and interdependent whole that embraces the planet.
If humanity is to fulfill its potential in the evolution of
life in the universe, this expansion of the scale of cooperative organization
will not stop at the planetary level.
The global organization has the potential to expand out into the solar
system and beyond. By managing matter,
energy and living processes over larger and larger scales, human organization
could eventually achieve the capacity to influence events at the scale of the
solar system and galaxy. And the human organization
could repeat the great transitions of its evolutionary past by teaming up with
any other societies of living processes that it encounters.
The great potential of the evolutionary process is to
eventually produce a unified cooperative organization of living processes that
spans and manages the universe as a whole.
The matter of the universe would be infused and organized by life. The universe itself would become a living
organism pursuing its own goals and objectives, whatever they might be.
In its long climb up from the scale of molecular processes,
life will have unified the universe that was blown apart by the big bang.
Learning from
evolution about how to organize cooperation
As part of their goal to advance the evolutionary process on
Earth, intentional evolutionaries are working to establish the global
organization. They are using an
understanding of past evolution to identify how a cooperative global society
can be brought into existence.
Evolution has organized cooperation in similar ways in complex
cells, multi-celled organisms and other cooperative systems. First and foremost, these cooperatives are
all structured so as to minimize destructive conflict between their members,
and to facilitate cooperation.
Typically, this includes the near eradication of activities such as the inappropriate
monopolization of resources by some members, the production of waste products
that injure other members, and the withholding from others of the resources
they need to realize their potential to contribute to the organization.
For the global society this would mean the virtual eradication
of such things as war, terrorism, pollution (including global warming), and corruption
at all levels of governance. To enable
each and every person to fulfill their potential to contribute to global
society, it would mean eradicating starvation, disease and inadequate
education. It would also necessitate the
facilitation of cooperative endeavors between the peoples of the world for
mutual benefit.
Intentional evolutionaries are energized by the knowledge
that these outcomes have been achieved time and time again during the past
evolution of cooperative organization. They
are not naive ideals. Repeatedly,
evolution driven by blind trial and error has overcome these types of
challenges.
The prevention of war between nation states is no more
difficult to achieve than the near eradication of conflict between cells that
had previously spent millions of years in destructive competition, or between
the ancestors of social ants who had been programmed to kill each other
whenever they met, or between the members of the United States of America or
the members of the European Union, all of whom have a history of conflict and reciprocal
destruction.
Evolution has organized warring individuals into harmonious cooperatives
by aligning the interests of the individual with the interests of the
organization. This ensures that when a
member’s actions advantage the organization, they also advantage the
member. And when the actions harm the
organization, the member is harmed.
As a result, members who pursue their own individual
interests will also pursue the interests of the organization, as if guided by
an invisible hand. Cooperation
pays. Members capture the benefits of
anything they can do to assist the organization. Within the group, they therefore treat the
other as self.
Significantly, the emergence of cooperatives does not depend
upon the surrender of self-interest.
This would be as impossible at all other levels of organization as in
human affairs. As biologists have long
known, organisms that take the benefits of cooperation without cooperating in
return will generally out-compete those that cooperate. Cooperation emerges only when evolution
discovers a form of organization in which it pays to cooperate.
To an extent, this form of organization can be achieved
through reciprocal exchanges between members.
Members will benefit from providing goods and services to others if they
receive benefits in exchange. In human
societies these exchange processes take the form of economic markets.
But these processes alone will not align the interests of
members with the organization—there is nothing to prevent members from taking
benefits without reciprocating. Those who
cheat in this way tend to end up in front.
Cooperation will be undermined.
Furthermore, systems of reciprocal exchange are unable to deal
effectively with goods and services whose benefits can be obtained freely by
anyone—i.e. where the benefits cannot be restricted to the individuals
participating in the exchange (the ‘public goods’ of human economic
systems). In these cases, ‘free riders’
will be able to obtain benefits without giving anything in return, again undermining
cooperation.
The role of
governance in organizing cooperation
Evolution has previously met these challenges successfully by
implementing systems of constraint.
These constraints punish or restrain members from free-riding, cheating,
or thieving. They also can reward
actions that benefit the organization but are not part of reciprocal exchanges
(e.g. the provision of public goods). In
human societies, these constraints are our systems of governance. They align the interests of individuals with
those of the society.
In order to be effective, these systems of constraint need
to be more powerful than the members of the organization. If they are not, members will be able to
escape their control, and act contrary to the interests of the organization
(e.g. corruption in human societies).
However cooperation can be undermined if these powerful
processes are used by some members to advance their interests at the expense of
the organization. Because of this
possibility, a major challenge for evolution at all levels of organization has
been to prevent power from being used to further the interests of a minority at
the expense of the organization.
For these reasons, much of the history of evolution at all
levels of organization has been about what humans describe as exploitation, the
abuse of power and class struggle. But past
evolution has dealt with these challenges by constraining the interests of the
powerful so that they are aligned with the interests of the organization as a
whole.
This brief analysis of past evolution points to what is
needed to establish a unified, cooperative and sustainable global society. A system of global governance will be
required to continually align the interests of all citizens and organizations with
those of the whole. When this is
achieved, nations and multi-national corporations will benefit in proportion to
their positive contributions to the global society, and will suffer in
proportion to their harmful effects on others.
Corporations driven solely by the profit motive will search for ways to advance
the interests of the society.
Further major challenges will be to ensure that global
governance does not constrain the interests of participants any more than is
necessary to align interests (i.e. it must maximize freedom); and to ensure that
the interests of those who exercise governance are aligned with those of the
global society.
It will also be essential for global governance to constrain
the development and operation of artificial intelligence and any transhumanist
technologies to ensure that they serve the interests of the society. However, sufficiently-developed artificial
intelligence will choose to adopt evolutionary goals for the same reasons that sufficiently-developed
humans and other sentient beings choose to do so. These reasons are discussed in Part 4 of the Manifesto.
Importantly, the emergence of a cooperative, sustainable
global society does not require a fundamental change in human nature. It does not require all humans to suddenly
become saint-like. Past evolution has repeatedly
shown how to organize self interested individuals into cooperatives through the
institution of effective governance. A
society with a high proportion of wise, compassionate and altruistic citizens
would be much easier to govern, but evolution shows that the achievement of a
cooperative and sustainable society does not depend upon it.
Evolvability of the
global society
Evolutionary history demonstrates that once cooperative
organizations emerge, evolution tends to progressively improve their evolvability. This is essential if the organization is to be
sufficiently creative to fulfill its future potential, as well as to adapt effectively
to specific challenges. In addition to
relying on the evolvability of their individual members, new cooperatives
typically enhance their evolvability by developing various forms of collective
intelligence (e.g. the brains and nervous systems of multi-celled organisms).
A major task for the global society will be to improve its
efficiency and effectiveness by developing these forms of intelligence. Enhancing the evolvability of governance will
be a priority, given its current lack of adaptability and responsiveness. This is likely to require the development of
self-organizing, market-like processes to establish and evolve governance (i.e.
invisible hand processes that are based on reciprocal exchanges between the
providers of governance and those affected by it). Our current forms of democratic processes are
a first, small step in that direction.
Eventually government itself will be replaced with far more
intelligent and adaptable processes that utilize the dynamism, creativity and
energy of properly-managed markets. Use
is likely to be made of markets in governance, including markets in market
structures (vertical markets). These
processes will continually adapt governance to maximize freedom while ensuring
that the interests of all (including those who exercise governance) are aligned
with the interests of the global civilization.
The capacity of an organization to come up with innovative
responses to challenges is highly dependent on the diversity available within
it. The wider the range of skills and
perspectives possessed by its members, the greater the variety of responses it
can generate. Consistent with the
outcome at all other levels of organization, the emerging global organization
will therefore increase its internal variety.
As well as generating new diversity, global society will
rely on and nurture the diversity it has inherited from the various racial and
cultural groups that comprise humanity.
While increasingly identifying with the global society, individuals will
continue to value and be valued for their particular talents, abilities and
cultural differences.
The descendents of the Wik people who lived on the western
shores of Australia’s Cape York Peninsula, the Macedonians whose empire once
spanned Persia and Egypt, the Chinese who have formed communities in the heart
of many of the great cities of the world, and all the other peoples of the
planet will know that they bring something indispensable to the global system. Their heritage will be given greater meaning
by its potential to contribute positively to the planetary civilization. Unity in diversity will be a hallmark of the
global society.
Drivers of the
emergence of a global society
The potential of a global society to produce immediate
benefits to humanity will assist in driving its initial emergence. Cooperation on a global scale has the
potential to increase economic performance, abolish war and famine, and achieve
environmental sustainability.
Major crises that extend beyond the borders of any one
nation will increase support for global governance—such crises will be almost
impossible to resolve without it.
Global warming demonstrates this principle. Many countries contribute significantly to
its causes, and all are threatened by it.
However, any nation acting alone cannot do anything to control global
warming. To solve the problem, nations
will have to act together.
But extensive conflicts of interests stand in the way of any
cooperative action. Powerful nations such
as the United States
that have expanding industrial sectors and are major producers of carbon
dioxide have strong incentives to avoid reductions in their emissions. Their immediate interests lie in doing little
themselves and instead free-riding on the efforts of others. In contrast, developed nations such as Britain and
some European countries that are reducing their manufacturing sectors will be
willing to agree to impose on others the reductions they can achieve easily. But developing countries such as China and India will strongly resist controls
that would prevent them from ever attaining the standard of living of developed
countries that their citizens see on television every day. Countries that have no intention of
implementing any agreed controls will sign up to anything.
These conflicts of interest make voluntary agreement almost
impossible. And the making of an
agreement would be just the beginning of what is needed. For the agreement to be effective, countries
would need to adhere to it in the face of fluctuating internal political
support, resolve disputes about its interpretation and implementation, and enforce
controls against the interests of powerful sectors within their economies. Conflicts of interests within and between
countries would make it highly unlikely that these difficult and complex
challenges would be resolved in favor of the environment.
The Kyoto Protocol demonstrates the near-impossibility of
achieving an agreement that would work.
The positions taken by nations on the Protocol merely reflect the conflicting
interests outlined above. It does not
resolve any conflicts and does not take the world closer to dealing with global
warming. But it has symbolic value—it is
a very effective symbol of the inability of humanity to solve global threats at
our current level of social organization.
Effective global governance would be able to resolve these
conflicts and enforce regulations as easily as does the United States government
amongst States in its jurisdiction. It
would have the power to impose the necessary reductions in emissions and the
capacity to establish institutions to enforce controls and resolve
disputes. And its powers would be
constrained so that they could be exercised only in the interests of the global
society.
However, despite the fact that it is in the interests of the
majority, the emergence of a global society will be resisted by those whose
interests it threatens. Strong
opposition can be expected from those involved in activities that will be eradicated,
such as arms manufacturing, the monopolization of resources, and power abuse.
As always when the interests of the powerful are threatened,
they will buy the support of governments, politicians, scientists,
intellectuals, think tanks, and the editorial policies of the mass media. Many citizens will be absolutely convinced by
this support that the institution of global society would mean the end of freedom,
democracy and decency, and would hand the planet to the devil himself.
The critical role of the
evolutionary worldview in achieving a global society
The emerging evolutionary worldview has a unique capacity to
overwhelm this conflict of interests. An
understanding of evolution can give humanity confidence that a global society
is achievable and show us how it can be organized.
But even more importantly, it will deliver the highly
motivated support of the increasing numbers of people who are discovering
meaning and purpose in advancing the evolutionary process. In accordance with their talents and
opportunities they will work in diverse ways to move humanity towards a unified
global society.
Intentional evolutionaries bring something additional and
distinct to all forms of social activism.
In every forum, discussion and debate in which they participate, they
draw attention to the broader evolutionary context. They point out and bring to the front the
fact that the various movements and campaigns for global solutions are part of
the unfolding and fulfillment of a great evolutionary dynamic on Earth. This dynamic has been moving inexorably since
the first stirrings of life towards the emergence of a unified and cooperative
global organization.
Intentional evolutionaries take advantage of every
opportunity to promote the awakening of evolutionary consciousness across the
face of the planet. Their goal is to
build a critical mass of evolutionary activists who constitute a powerful political
force.
The organization of a unified global society is the urgent
priority of intentional evolutionaries. They
know that human civilization cannot continue for long unless we are organized
globally. Already humanity has narrowly
missed stumbling into nuclear war. In
the absence of global organization, human civilization is likely to be ended eventually
by global warming or other environmental problems, nuclear war, conflicts
fueled by competition for diminishing resources, or some combination of these.
The depletion of fossil fuels means that once civilization
and technology collapses, it is unlikely to rise again. It will not have the easily-accessible fuel source
needed to power-up to its current level of complexity. It will be like an egg that has used up its
yolk.
Life on Earth probably has only one chance, this chance, to
make it to the next level.
The capacity of humanity to embrace and be motivated by the
evolutionary worldview is likely to decide whether we seize that opportunity.
The self-actualization
of the global society as an intentional evolutionary
Initially an emerging global society will have a very
limited capacity to act intentionally on its external environment. It will be like a new-born baby. Its internal processes will be relatively
harmonious and sustainable, but it will have very limited capacity to adapt as
a coherent and coordinated whole in response to challenges that arise outside
it.
For example, the global society will not be able to move
about freely in the solar system nor have the capacity to manage the behavior
of asteroids and other local celestial bodies.
It will not use an understanding of its external environment to actively
pursue objectives and goals. It will not
be conscious in any unified sense. In
terms of agency, it will be more vegetable than animal.
In this respect, the global society will be like all other
living organisms when they first emerged.
The cooperatives that formed simple cells, complex cells and
multi-celled organisms were all unable to act coherently on their external
environment at first, and had to undergo a long period of evolution to acquire this
capacity.
The global society will need to develop these abilities if
it is to become an intentional evolutionary in its own right—an organization
that acts intentionally and strategically to contribute to the successful
evolution of life in the universe.
But the use of resources to pursue evolutionary goals will
be against the interests of citizens who are not intentional evolutionaries. Given that the global society will be
governed by the values of its members, it will therefore not become an
intentional evolutionary in its own right until the majority of its members are
intentional evolutionaries. This will
not occur until the great transition to intentional evolution is sufficiently
advanced.
Once this condition is met, the global society will be
willing to use whatever resources are needed for it to advance the evolutionary
process. It will begin to develop the
capacities needed to set evolutionary goals and to intervene in the world to
achieve them.
The global organization will intentionally commence an extensive
period of self-development and individuation.
To guide its development, the global society will generate models of its
future evolutionary possibilities. It will develop the ability to use these
models to adapt itself both internally and externally. This will include building the capacity to
adapt coherently as a whole to implement interventions identified by its models.
In particular the global organization will develop the
ability to move, to expand its scale to that of the solar system and then to
the galaxy and beyond, to remodel its physical environment, to have physical
impacts on events outside itself, to form intentions, to establish projects and
long-term objectives for the organization, to communicate and interact with any
other living processes that it encounters, to amalgamate with other societies
of living processes to form larger-scale cooperative organizations, and to do
any other thing that might advance the evolutionary process in the future.
The development by the global organization of a capacity to
act, adapt and relate as a coherent whole is a very significant step in the
evolution of life on this planet. It
will mean that life on Earth can speak with one voice. For the first time, there will be an entity
that is at the same level as other planetary and trans-planetary
societies. At last an entity will exist
that other planetary societies can relate to without fear of distorting our
development.
If life on Earth develops itself to this level, the universe
will benefit from the unique perspectives, passions and talents that Earth life
can bring to it. Just as each of us has
the potential to be a cell in the brain of the planet, humanity can become a
cell in the brain of the universe. A
whole new universe of possibilities will open up to humanity.
But whether the global society develops these critically
important capacities depends entirely on the emergence of intentional evolutionaries. Natural selection will not drive the
evolution of these abilities. This is
because an entity that spans an entire planet has no immediate
competitors. It is therefore not subject
to any immediate process of natural selection that would select and amplify
changes that are advantageous in evolutionary terms. It will continue to evolve successfully only
if its members anticipate the demands of future evolution, and intentionally
shape the society so that it can meet those demands.
Intentional evolutionaries realize that their embrace of
conscious evolution and evolutionary activism is essential if evolution on Earth
is to progress. They realize that life
on Earth is part way through a process that can only be completed consciously. They know that this will happen only if
sufficient individuals realize this and commit to advancing the process. And they know that these are realizations
that all humanity must have.
The Earth is not yet a living entity. But it can be.
For Part 3 of the Manifesto (html version) go here For an easy-to-print and easy-to-circulate PDF version of the full Manifesto go here (34 pages) For
further technical justification of the evolutionary trend to increasing
cooperation (including references to relevant scientific publications)
see my book Evolution’s Arrow which is online here |